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Reliability Reality

5/13/2021

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Seems like the idea of "reliability" is a big thing these days.  When applied to electricity, what does it mean?  It means that when you flip the switch on the wall at your home, the lights go on.  And that may be the extent of what the general public knows about the "reliability" of their electricity.   These folks are gullible patsies for  greedy, electric industry propaganda.  The best propaganda disseminates a self-serving idea that plays on public fear.

How many stories have you read lately about things that fail without warning:  bridges... pipelines... electricity.  Bingo!  You're being fed a bunch of lies about "the electric grid" and its "reliability."
Developers of the Grain Belt Express say the massive transmission line remains on track to open up by 2025, connecting wind power in western Kansas with voracious demand in the East.
The 800-mile project promises to add more reliability to the electric grid — all the more enticing since rolling blackouts in February left millions of Americans without power. While the $2 billion overhead transmission line aims at exporting wind energy from Kansas, it will also be capable of moving electricity both directions, which could have helped mitigate the electricity crisis that hit the United States earlier this year.

Zadlo understands the opposition to the project. But he said the benefits for people here and across the United States are immense. Just like railroad cars transport coal from mines to refineries, the Grain Belt will move a much-needed resource to customers, while also strengthening the electrical grid.

"Reliability benefits all people, right? Increasing the reliability of the grid is a good societal impact," he said. "Whether you're in the city or in rural areas, you will benefit from the increased reliability that Grain Belt will bring."

Well, gosh, you might think that we NEED GBE to make sure the lights go on when we flip the switch.  However, this is nothing but propaganda designed to make you think we're just sitting around watching the grid rot and waiting for some non-utility corporation to build enormously profitable new transmission that serves their generation portfolio.  That would just be stupid!

Reliability is maintained through transmission planning by several independent regional transmission system operators.  Reliability planning is their main purpose!    In addition, utilities must meet rigorous reliability standards set and enforced by NERC, a federal reliability enforcement organization.  We don't leave reliability to chance!!!  Therefore when some vapid media piece tells you that our grid is "outdated," "creaky," "aged," "unreliable" you can be assured that none of that is true!  Our grid is kept reliable through strict regulation, planning and operation.  These are the organizations that deserve all the credit for keeping your lights on.

The regional transmission system operators have a robust transmission planning process that looks years into the future to ensure that the grid remains reliable in any scenario.  If we need new transmission for reliability purposes, then the buck stops there.  All transmission that we actually NEED for reliability is planned by the grid operator, assigned to a regulated utility, and ordered to be built, with the costs of the project allocated across the electric ratepayers who receive the benefit.  It works!

However, GBE is not one of these needed reliability projects.  No grid operator has planned, ordered, or allocated the costs of GBE to ratepayers.  Instead, GBE is an outside actor that is attempting to build transmission for its own purposes.  It is building transmission because it wants to make money.  It is not building transmission to be a public service.  GBE owner Invenergy has no obligation to serve electric consumers and it doesn't give a rat's patootie whether or not your lights come on when you flip the switch.  Invenergy simply wants to see lots of money in its bank account.

So when merchant transmission projects like GBE tell you that they will provide some necessary "reliability," it's nothing but bogus propaganda.  Any "reliability" provided by GBE is reliability we don't need.  If we needed it to keep the lights on, GBE would be a regional system operator planned, ordered and cost allocated project.  But it's not.  It's a private corporate foray into transmission whose only obligation is to its own balance sheet.

The reality of reliability is that we have an extensive, federally sanctioned system that ensures reliability.

Grain Belt Express is not part of that system.  We don't "need" it to make sure the lights go on when we flip the switch on the wall.
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Lies About The Energy Industry That Even Ron White Wouldn't Joke About

5/11/2021

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My eyes rolled so far back in my head this morning that it's taken half a day to regain their function.  It happened as a result of reading this article in the popular periodical, Institutional Investor.  Now, I'm not sure who actually reads this, but any readers should be aware that not only is the article full of energy fallacies that would make a junior high school science student laugh, but there is no "investment opportunity" for pensions and large companies to be found in electric transmission.  When the rubber of this grandiose brain fart hits the road of reality, it's going to be a giant blow out!

I gotta wonder, do these investors actually drop cash into investment schemes they know nothing about, advised by a couple of yahoos who know nothing about how electric transmission is actually paid for?  Aaron Bloom and Richard Wiggins should be laughed right outta the room for suggesting that non-utility corporations can invest in electric transmission and earn a GUARANTEED 9-11% return on their investment from ratepayers.

NO!

Their understanding of the financial side of transmission is probably being laughed at in utility and regulatory circles.  I hope they're suitably embarrassed for this faux pas.  It's sort of like someone who has never had a child telling someone who has many children how to be a parent.  Aaron and Richard have no idea what they're talking about!!  Their article rings nearly every single bell in this dire warning about fraudulent investment schemes!  Maybe Aaron should spend less time trying to act like P.T. Barnum's long-lost grandson and more time being a humble student at NextEra's transmission rates department?  Then he could actually know his subject matter before he opens his mouth on the investment sideshow circuit.  Obviously Aaron is not the smartest guy in the room, no matter how much he may think so.

I'm going to split this into two parts, the rates/investment lies part, and the energy lies part.  Let's do the rates thing first, because it just bugs me so much!  Aaron (maybe with the help of Richard?) has completely scrambled two very different ways to pay for new electric transmission into one too good to be true investment "opportunity." 

Updating the grid is going to be expensive: at least $150 billion of investment and probably closer to $200 billion. That’s a lot of coin, but here’s the good news: These investments will earn 9 to 11 percent because that’s the regulated return on transmission assets. This is what’s allowed under the regulatory compact that was first laid out in the Binghamton Bridge Supreme Court case of 1865 because transmission is a natural monopoly. This isn’t like the deregulated power generation market; there’s actual competition there so independent power producers like Calpine Corp. can — and do — go bankrupt. Investors can lose everything. Not here — these returns are guaranteed.

The formula is pretty simple. I won’t bother to explain it:

Total revenue requirement = rate base × allowed rate of return + expenses

Biden just unlocked private investment in the grid. It is the most fundamental infrastructure there is — a giant power cord that connects supply with demand. These are valuable assets so the private sector should be lining up to invest. David Swensen made his reputation by championing investment in novel asset classes, and this one is sitting right in front of us: X marks the spot. Pensions and large companies like Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon are sitting on mountains of cash that should be jonesing for private finance initiative projects to build transmission for the federal government, give operational control to a regional transmission organization, and receive the approved return from ratepayers. Do more than consume the power — bank the returns!

Just last week, I blogged about politician, bureaucrat and media confusion over the distinctly different traditional, utility-owned transmission project vs. the more recent merchant transmission construct.  I'm guessing Aaron and Richard didn't read it.  If they had, they never would have made such a colossal mistake.  At least we should hope not, since trying to sell this "investment" if they knew it was fraudulent is... well... fraud!

Only regulated utilities can build and own regulated electric transmission (referred to as the "traditional" kind in my recent blog).  Amazon could not decide to build a transmission project and receive a return from electric ratepayers.  That's not how the regulatory compact works.  (Aaron needs to drop into NextEra's legal department, too, on his way back to the huckster department.)  Regulated utilities do not need "investments" from Amazon to build transmission ordered by grid planners (not the federal government).  Regulated utilities invest THEIR OWN money in transmission projects... and that's why they are allowed a regulated 9-11% return.  The regulatory compact balances low rates for ratepayers with a return that is just enough to keep the utility financially healthy.  There's nothing in there about corporations who are not regulated utilities.  Ratepayers are not money fountains for private corporations.  Utilities are for the purpose of serving the public.  Amazon is not.  Furthermore, utilities would never allow a company like Amazon to invest in their projects and collect the entire return.  The utility wants (needs?) that return to keep its own company healthy.  There's nothing in it for a utility to pass on all its profits to Amazon.  Let's really stretch Aaron's brain here, shall we?  A utility's equity in a transmission project is usually in the neighborhood of 40-60%.  It only earns a return on its equity.  The remainder of the project is financed with debt.  And that's not debt from Amazon.  It might be a bank, who gives really good rates to utilities - maybe 6% or less, based on the utility's credit rating and guaranteed regulated revenue stream.  However, debt is paid back to the bank by ratepayers at the utility's borrowing rate, not its equity rate (6%, not 9-11%).  There is no regulated profit for the utility there.  In addition, the "turning over operational control" of new transmission to regional transmission organization is purely figurative.  RTOs don't own transmission.  It's not like a utility could build transmission and then give it to PJM and wash its hands of the responsibility while collecting its juicy ratepayer return.  Saying something like that just demonstrates a complete lack of knowledge about transmission... or pushing a conniving and fraudulent investment scheme.

The only investment space for companies like Amazon in the electric transmission world is merchant transmission.  Non-utilities can propose, build and own whatever they want in the non-regulated world of merchant transmission.  Go for it, Jeff Bezos!  However, merchant transmission is not regulated.  This means there is no revenue stream from captive ratepayers.  This means there are no guaranteed returns.  This is a deregulated transmission project market.  There’s actual competition there so merchant transmission developers like Clean Line Energy Partners, can — and do — go bankrupt and their investors can (and did!) lose everything.  Merchant transmission can only recover its costs through negotiated rates in a free market.  Merchant transmission must have voluntary customers to be financially viable.  There are no captive ratepayers.  The allowed return is the difference between the cost of service and the rate that can be voluntarily negotiated.  It is not guaranteed.  Nothing about merchant transmission is guaranteed by anyone.  It's a risky business, but if Amazon wants to dabble in it nobody is going to stop them.  But Amazon has to accept the full risk of losing its investment in its entirety.  Is that a good investment for pensions and corporations?  No, it's not.

Biden did not "unlock investment in the grid."  The only thing that is actually operational is some transmission loan guarantees from DOE.  That does not mean that Amazon can invest in the new merchant transmission Clean Line, called Grid United, and recover all its investment from the federal government when Grid United fails.  Merchant transmission assumes all risk.  If the federal government is taking on the risk, then it's no longer a merchant project and we're back to square one with the regulated utilities that aren't interested in Amazon's money.

Bottom line:  There is no "private investment" in regulated transmission.  There is no opportunity for companies like Amazon here.  Trying to sell it as a high yield, no risk investment opportunity would make P.T. Barnum blush.

Now, let's move on to the energy lies...
  1. Environmentalists are not winning.  They're losing.  Probably because of lies like this.
  2. We don't need ONE unified electric grid.  The bigger it gets, the more connections it makes, the bigger its chances of failure.  Cascading outages are a real risk when everything is connected.
  3. California and Texas can't keep their lights on in a crisis because they don't have enough reliable baseload generation that can run when called.  Renewables are variable resources that must be backed up with adequate baseload.  Build too many subsidized renewables and baseload is forced out of market and closes.  When your baseload closes, it is not incumbent upon other states or regions to sell you their electricity because you didn't plan your system properly.  If California and Texas planned and built for their own needs, instead of planning to be a power parasite, they would be able to keep their lights on. 
  4. Remote renewables are NOT "distributed" generation.  They are the same centralized generation + transmission model criticized in the article.
  5. Fifteen states DO NOT account for 87 percent of U.S. wind energy potential, most geographically far from the urban load centers where most of the country’s energy is consumed.  The article leaves out offshore wind, which has much more potential and is conveniently located nearly all of the major urban electric load.  Turning the Midwest into "the Saudi Arabia of wind" while keeping your own sea views pristine is just another parasitic move.
  6. If Wyoming wants to tax wind power, bravo!  There's nothing bad about that.  It's good for Wyoming.  Why should Wyoming become the parasites' power plant for free?
  7. The physics of distributed generation do work!
  8. Wires are not cheaper than batteries in all instances.  Consideration must also be given to who pays.
  9. It's only "cheaper" to build renewables because they are so heavily subsidized by taxpayers.  The real problem is that transmission is not an asset that can or should be subsidized. 
  10. The U.S. transmission grid is not inadequate.  It is not congested and old.  It is a carefully balanced high-tech machine that is constantly updated and it keeps the lights on, even when the wind doesn't blow.  (Had to add that... hope it hit the spot!)
  11. You can't pump any more electrons on to certain places in the grid because they don't need power there!  Building generation in remote places where no one needs it and then demanding that those folks pay to build you a road to get your product to market defeats any cost savings from building the generator there in the first place.  How about concentrating on building generation near load and saving us all a lot of money and headaches? 
  12. We don't need to double or triple the size of the electric grid.  We simply can't afford it.  Electric bills are high enough for most people, without doubling or tripling them.  (Investment opportunity!!!  Who is supposed to be paying for this?  There ain't no such thing as a free lunch!)
  13. The grid is not collapsing.  People may find it boring, but that's because it's serving its purpose and nobody has to think much about it.  However, if you triple electric bills, make the grid unreliable, and put huge lattice transmission towers across working farmland and in everyone's backyard I guarantee you that nobody would find it boring anymore.  They'd be talking about it constantly... and they'd be coming for your head with torches and pitchforks.
  14. The sun shines brightest and the wind blows hardest?  WTF?  Do you know how juvenile this crap sounds?  How condescending of you!  You glib little shit.
  15. The overhead grid on huge towers is an old idea that requires sacrifice from landowners who receive no benefit.  We don't have to build transmission this way anymore.  It can be buried on existing rights of way, like railroads or roadways, and no one would have to sacrifice.  In fact, transmission like that would probably face little to no opposition and sail through regulatory proceedings.  Why aren't we building that?  Why are we stuck in the past continuing to build new versions of Nikola Tesla's grid?
  16. Nobody cares how many jobs you create building stuff we don't need.  Maybe we should just pay these people to sit on the couch and call it a "job."  Oh wait... that's already happened.
  17. If you want low cost energy to increase America's productivity, building a whole new energy source and grid while continuing to pay off the perfectly adequate one we have now, isn't the way to accomplish it.  Switching to renewables is only going to drive prices up.  I don't believe any "low cost renewables" hogwash.  It does not pencil out.
  18. The only ones who can afford electric cars are the wealthy.  The other 99% are going to cling to their gas cars as long as they can, and then simply do without.  Every American is not going to switch to an electric car.
  19. A Tesla charged in WV is not a coal-powered car any more than one charged in New York City.  The entire grid is a mix of both "dirty" and "clean" electrons, however there are much more "dirty" ones than "clean" ones.  They get all mixed up.  You can't segregate them.
  20. Electrifying everything is putting all our eggs into one energy's basket.  That's terrifying.  When the electricity goes out at my all electric house, nothing works.  Not even the water.  That's why I have a diesel generator for back up.... and a charcoal-powered grill!  Diversity is a wonderful thing!
  21. We don't have room for forests of wind turbines and oceans of solar panels.  Build that crap in your own backyard.
  22. The idea that a 3-hour time difference from coast to coast will act as a buffer for renewables failure to produce when needed is preposterous.  It's only 3 hours.
  23. Other countries use more renewables.  They also pay exorbitant electric bills and, as a result, use much less electricity.  They are not adding things to their electric load, like cars and heat pumps.  Other countries have robust offshore wind generation.  We have one.  Other countries use buried transmission. We do not.
  24. ZzzzzzZZZssss... oh pardon me, I think I fell asleep reading all this drivel.
What a joke!  A joke for Ron White.

Aaron Bloom got run over by a Volvo;
Coming home from transmission rates class last night;
Some folks say there's no such real investment;
But as for these two hucksters, they believe.
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22 Transmission Ideas + Free Government Cheese = Rat Infestation

4/30/2021

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He's back!  Thought you were done with Michael Skelly for good when his Clean Line Energy Partners went belly up after wasting $200M of investors' money?  Sorry.  The smell of free government cheese was apparently too much for him.  He's back... as a "founder" of Grid United.  Grid United LLC was just created a couple weeks ago and registered in Delaware.  Gosh, where have we seen all this before?
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Isn't this the way the Clean Line money burner started?  I wonder if he's called up Jimmy and Jayshree to join him again?  So... what sparked this sudden interest to join the transmission world again after such a spectacular failure?

Free government cheese!  If you put out the cheese, the rats will come!

It appears that the people and corporations who will make enormous profits from overbuilding new transmission, along with "big green" non-governmental organizations who seek to fatten their own bottom line and reach their own political goals, have been elected to the White House.  It's no coincidence that the cabals seeking political power and riches beyond imagination have taken control of U.S. energy policy.  It's also no coincidence that the White House announced new actions to "upgrade America's power infrastructure" at the very same time that one of the cabals announced a new list of 22 "shovel ready" transmission projects.  It's quite clear who is in control here.  It's corporate interests.  The swamp has been rewatered and the creatures are multiplying.

Along with the 22 "shovel ready" transmission projects, the White House announced more than $8B of federal loan guarantees for "innovative" transmission projects.
“DOE is making financing available for projects that improve resilience and expand transmission capacity across the electrical grid, so we can reliably move clean energy from places where it’s produced to places where it’s needed most,” said Secretary of Energy Jennifer M. Granholm.
Holy Solyndra, Batman!  Gosh, what if Skelly could get his hands on $8B of free government cheese to spend on a new suite of Clean Line... err... Grid United... transmission ideas?  Since no private investor would be likely to give him another penny for his transmission ideas, it's up to the federal government to give OUR money away for Skelly to play with.  And where are those "places where it's needed most?"  I've been trying to get this meaningless platitude defined for years now without success.  I think it means turning rural America into an industrial power plant for urban needs.  For some reason, urban needs are "most" and rural needs are sacrificed.  Environmental justice?  No, just a bunch of hypocrites of the highest order who intend to place their energy infrastructure on precious farmland and through the backyards of hundreds of thousands of rural residents, even though these "peasants" won't get any benefit from it.  The DOE pretends that its free government cheese is only for "innovative" transmission projects, however the list of 22 "shovel ready" transmission projects includes mostly old technology  projects that have been bumping along unsuccessfully for decades.  There's nothing innovative here... overhead wires and hulking lattice structures hundreds of feet tall are something that Thomas Edison would recognize!  There are only a handful of quasi-innovative projects on the list -- those that are buried underwater or along existing rights of way.  And even then, they are based on the century-old idea of centralized generation and miles of transmission wire.  What's truly innovative?  This!  Distributed generation, making power where it's used, is our future however there is no free government cheese for this truly innovative new energy idea.

What projects are on the list?  Of course, Grain Belt Express makes the list, but it's not the project Invenergy is trying to build.  The project on the list includes the leg through Illinois, although Invenergy has announced that it only wants to build the portion through Kansas and Missouri.  It seems the "list" only includes Skelly's version of it.  Is he going to buy it back from Polsky?  Stab him in the back this time?  Completing Skelly's dream is the Plains and Eastern project.  It's on the list, although it was abandoned more than 4 years ago!  Is Skelly going to buy that one back from NextEra?  Adding to the mystery is the "new" Plains and Eastern's route.  It ends abruptly at the Arkansas border.  It does not continue through Arkansas to make the connection at Memphis that Skelly originally envisioned.  In fact, Skelly never envisioned a connection point at the Arkansas border.  What's there?  Is that a strong connection point where a gigantic 4,000 MW converter station can be built?  Nobody knows... it all seems like simple artwork fantasy.
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Observing the report’s map, Skelly said, “If you squint a little bit, you can see the beginnings of what would be a nationally connected system. Obviously, there are plenty of gaps here, but … if these lines get done, then we have the beginnings of a something” that could “grow organically into a national grid.”
Ahh, geez, if you squint a bit you can also see an infestation of fat rats swarming the cheese.  A squinting transmission plan and free government cheese?  Is this what now passes for national energy policy?  Stop the crazy!  But wait, there's more...
Among the projects are a few originally proposed by Michael Skelly’s defunct Clean Line Energy Partners, including the Grain Belt Express and the Plains & Eastern Clean Line.

“The reason we put these projects on the list is because they’re sited, and they’ve got interconnect agreements, and they’ve got studies; they’re ready to go,” said Skelly, now a senior adviser at Lazard, who joined ACEG Executive Director Rob Gramlich and several representatives of the listed projects’ developers in presenting the report.

Say what?  These projects have interconnection agreements?  That is a BIG FAT LIE.  Neither of these projects have signed interconnection agreements for both ends of the extension cord.  In fact, Grain Belt Express seems to be hedging its bets about where it will interconnect lately.  Will it be Ralls County?  Will it be Randolph County?  Will it be Indiana?  Invenergy says it has no idea.  No idea at all.  In addition, nobody knows what NextEra intends to do with the Oklahoma portion of Plains and Eastern that it purchased.  It's done nothing to make a new project out of the ashes of the old one.  However, Skelly's new cabal has some more policies it wants to put in place using its new perch at the White House.

Given the scale of transmission need discussed above, other policies to enable large-scale expansion of transmission over the longer-term are also needed.

Anchor Tenant

Legislation could be enacted to direct the federal government to directly invest in new transmission lines as an “anchor tenant” customer, and then re-sell that contracted transmission capacity to renewable developers and others seeking to use the transmission line. This would help provide the certainty needed to move transmission projects to construction and overcome what is called the “chicken-and-the-egg problem,” in which renewable developers and transmission developers are each waiting for the other to go first due to the mismatch in the length of time it takes each to complete construction.

FERC Transmission Planning and Cost Allocation Reform
The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) has authority over how transmission is planned and paid for. FERC can use that authority to break the transmission planning and cost allocation logjams that are preventing large regional and inter-regional lines from being built. Legislation to direct FERC to use that authority could also be helpful.

Streamlined Permitting
While most authority for permitting transmission lines is held by states, federal agencies have authority over lines that cross federal lands. Steps can be taken to streamline and expedite that process, which can currently take a decade or more.

Hey, remember why Plains and Eastern failed in the first place?  It was because the TVA (federal power marketer) refused to sign on as an anchor tenant and be Clean Line's customer.  Skelly aims to fix that by requiring that the federal government hold the hot potato of transmission capacity nobody wants or needs.  The government would pay Skelly for his project and then maybe re-sell capacity to someone else as a middle man.  And if the government is as unsuccessful as Skelly at selling transmission capacity to a utility that wants it?  Well, then, no harm done.  The government can just continue to fund unneeded transmission that nobody uses... forever.  This is absurd, uneconomic and just plain stupid.

There's so much free government cheese here it makes my head spin!

Free transmission tax credits.
Free government loan guarantees.
Guaranteed purchase of new capacity.
New federal government siting and permitting.
Wider cost allocation so consumers don't notice how expensive it is.
New rate incentives for transmission.
New federal planning to increase transmission expansion.

It's like different branches of the federal government are trying to out-do each other by providing layer upon layer upon layer of new cheese handouts for transmission developers.  None of it is coordinated and designed to work together.  It's a buffet line of government handouts for transmission.  A tax credit here, a loan there, a customer contract on the side, a handful of new federal permitting authority, a bowl of new rate incentives.  This is the epitome of bloated, ubiquitous government controlling your life and your wallet.  Nose to the grindstone, little serf, we've got lots of big government to pay for!!

Let's take a sanity break for just a moment, shall we?  Nearly all of the 22 transmission projects on the "shovel ready" list are merchant transmission projects.  What are merchant transmission projects?  Merchant transmission projects are distinguished from those planned by traditional public utilities in that such projects assume all the market risks, and have no captive pool of customers from which to recoup the project's costs.  Merchant projects assume ALL market risk!  They pay for themselves.  They do not have any guaranteed stream of revenue from any captive customers.  Because they have no captive customers, they are not regulated.  Transmission with captive customers (such as the proposed federal government anchor customers, or perhaps the taxpayers who are paying for all the free cheese being handed out) must be regulated because the regulation serves as stand-in for competition in a free market.  You cannot allow these monopoly constructs to charge as much as they want when there is no competition.  But, yet, that is exactly what the federal government is now proposing.  It is proposing to make itself a captive customer of an unregulated monopoly.  It is proposing to make U.S. taxpayers captive customers of an unregulated monopoly.  If we're going to start handing cash and guarantees to merchant transmission developers, THEY MUST BE FULLY REGULATED!  When they are regulated they can no longer charge negotiated rates, and they must pass cost/benefit tests that guarantee consumers will receive more benefit than the project costs to build.  There must be a fully vetted reason to build them, aside from corporate profit.  You cannot hand public money to unregulated monopolies!

And let's end, for the time being, with a little irony, shall we?  After he flamed out in the world of transmission, Michael Skelly became an activist against highway expansion in his own hometown of Houston.  Let's take a look at his comments in a recent news article about the highway project:

Community opponents of the highway expansion said TxDOT’s only solution to ease traffic problems and congestion is to build more highways, which, besides allowing more cars on the road, also covers more city area with asphalt and concrete. This has considerably increased flooding in areas surrounding highways, many of which have suffered disproportionately since Hurricane Harvey in August 2017, they said.
Michael Skelly, a local activist with the Make I-45 Better Coalition, said TxDOT has consistently ignored residents’ input on project design despite several public hearings. “In 2015, a few of us residents got together and submitted our comments to TxDOT on a 2017 draft project,” he said. “It soon became clear they were not going to commit to anything.”

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The Assault on Rural America Has Begun

4/14/2021

1 Comment

 
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Have you ever really contemplated the crackpot conspiracy theory fleshed out on various TV shows that there is some secret entity actually running our country?  That elected officials are mere puppets of some secret global cabal?  Why is it that most of the wealth is concentrated within a very small group of people?  Does money buy power?  If you've ever wondered about these things, pull up a chair, this blog is for you...

Last week I told you about Biden's plan for investment tax credits for electric transmission lines, though there was actually little information to be had.  My Alexa must have been on the job reading my mind, because the very next day the text of new legislation introduced in Congress to make the transmission investment tax credit a reality was revealed.  Thanks, Jeff Bezos, what would I do without you and your AI spy?  If I can think it, you can deliver it!

Here's a link to the bill.  Go ahead, click through.  It's amazingly brief and facile.  Not what you'd be expecting for a complicated giving away of hundreds of millions of dollars of your money.  The real "guts" are contained in the IRS code -- this just establishes a transmission investment tax credit at 30%.  The IRS has to figure out how to run the program.  The legislation just sets the parameters for it, such as what kind of electric transmission qualifies for the tax credit?

Are you ready?
‘‘(c) QUALIFYING ELECTRIC POWER TRANSMISSION LINE PROPERTY.—The term ‘qualifying electric power transmission line property’ means— ‘‘(1) any overhead, submarine, or underground transmission facility which—
‘‘(A) is capable of transmitting electricity at a voltage of not less than 275 kilovolts,
‘‘(B) has a transmission capacity of not less than 500 megawatts,
‘‘(C) is an alternating current or direct current transmission line, and
‘‘(D) delivers power produced in either a rural area or offshore, and

‘‘(2) any conductors or cables, towers, insulators, reactors, capacitors, circuit breakers, static VAR compensators, static synchronous compensators, power converters, transformers, synchronous condensers, braking resistors, and any ancillary facilities and equipment necessary for the proper operation of the facility described in paragraph (1).


Power produced in a rural area?  So transmission for power produced in an urban area  cannot qualify for this tax credit?  You may be thinking that they don't need transmission for power produced in an urban area because it can be used where it's produced.  But think a little harder... this discourages any future power production in urban areas and encourages lots of future power production in rural areas.  It provides the carrot on a stick to a future where rural areas operate as the power production serfs that serve their powerful masters in the cities.  Power production in rural areas is encouraged through a giveaway of your tax dollars. 

But what if they used that money instead to develop power production in the cities and suburbs that use so much of it?  That would probably be a cheaper scenario, by far.  But our government is pushing for a different reality where the cities are mere power parasites feeding off the sacrifice of rural areas.

Let's peel this onion to see just how many layers there are to this bold plan to enslave rural areas...  and discover that they're not even trying to hide it anymore.  When the elites control every aspect of the narrative, plus the puppets who will carry it out, there is nothing to fear from plebeians.

This article in Renewable Energy Magazine ties this legislation to ACORE, the American Council on Renewable Energy.  Of course the legislators who are sponsoring this legislation are nothing but lobbyist puppets, doing what they're told.  If they don't buck the system, they are rewarded with campaign contributions that keep them in office.  If legislators don't do any real work writing or reading legislation, what do they DO all day?  Run around like remote-control robots making sure things happen like they are ordered to happen, preening for the cameras, feeding their egos.

ACORE put out a brief press release.  Very proud of themselves and their legislative puppets.  ACORE says this tax credit will serve their Macro Grid initiative.
“Sen. Martin Heinrich, Rep. Steven Horsford and Rep. Susie Lee’s introduction today of the Electric Power Infrastructure Improvement Act adds to the growing momentum for a federal transmission investment tax credit (ITC). As we saw this winter, America’s outdated grid infrastructure is hurting consumers and our economy. With a transmission ITC, we can enhance grid reliability, create jobs, save consumers money, and provide developers with the long-term certainty they need to invest in a 21st century Macro Grid that’s capable of delivering the clean energy future Americans want and deserve. We look forward to working with lawmakers on both sides of the aisle to pass this critically important legislation this year.”
So what, or who, is ACORE?  Here's a lovely photo collage of their rather extensive Board of Directors (for even more fun, there's also a doubly large Board of Directors Emeritus).  24 people on the BOD.  24!  How do they ever manage to get things done?  But, all that aside, look at who these 24 people are, and what "member companies" they represent.  NextEra, Pattern, Avangrid, Invenergy, Berkshire Hathaway -- all companies who stand to profit significantly by building new renewable generation and transmission to serve it.  The list also includes equipment suppliers of renewable energy technology and equipment.  But perhaps most disturbing of all is that it also includes lots of big investors such as BlackRock, JP Morgan, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs.  And then there are some really odd, but powerful, additions, such as Facebook and Amazon.  Hang on... my Alexa is going crazy trying to take my order for renewables right now...

ACORE's mission pretends it's just an educational, tax exempt organization that doesn't lobby.
The American Council on Renewable Energy (ACORE) is a 501(c)(3) national nonprofit organization that unites finance, policy and technology to accelerate the transition to a renewable energy economy.
I guess they don't have to actually lobby... just place an Alexa in every legislator's home, office and car.

But isn't it funny that all these companies stand to make a bundle of money from new legislation that enables their business and profits?  And legislators get so "educated" about it that they write bills about things they know nothing about?  Wow!  Serendipity!

But wait... let's see what's in the next layer of this onion.  ACORE's Macro Grid initiative.  Who came up with that?  ACORE's 2020 Annual Report reveals:
Thanks to generous support from Breakthrough Energy, ACORE and Americans for a Clean Energy Grid (ACEG) launched the Macro Grid Initiative to promote investment in a 21st century transmission infrastructure that enhances reliability, improves efficiency and delivers more low-cost clean energy.
And is extremely profitable for ACORE's Board of Directors, don't forget that part.  Your beneficent pose isn't working for me.

Who is "Breakthrough Energy?"  Here's the layer where you really start to smell the rot that pervades this entire charade...
Breakthrough Energy Ventures is an investor-led fund that aims to build the new, cutting-edge companies that will lead the world to net-zero emissions.
Our strategy links government-funded research and patient, risk-tolerant capital to bring transformative clean energy innovations to market as quickly as possible.
Again, it's not about beneficence, it's about making money, lots of it.  And in order to do that, they have to influence government policies and programs at the highest level.

Even more revealing, take a good, close look at Breakthrough Energy's Board & Investors.

There you'll find some very familiar names... multi-billionaires you've heard of, along with a host of other filthy rich people from around the globe that you've never heard of.

The cast of characters includes:  Bill Gates, Michael Bloomberg, Jeff Bezos (Alexa, shut up, I'm trying to work here), and some Walton family members. 

And it also includes a huge list of other multi-billionaires from around the globe and includes members from Saudi Arabia, India, England, China, Canada, Germany, South Africa, France and Japan.  And China.  Did I mention China?

These folks who funded ACORE's Macro Grid initiative are intending to invest in renewable energy projects in order to get even richer.  But it's not just that... let's dial back out.

Where did the transmission investment tax credit first get mentioned?  In President Biden's "Infrastructure" thing.  Do you suppose he independently came up with that idea and it was just happy coincidence that it lined up with what the global elite wanted?

Or do these global elites, who control a substantial portion of the world's wealth, also control our elected officials?

Who really wants to make sure all energy of the future is produced in rural areas, and not in the cities?  Is it really about climate change, or is it simply a rent seeking operation?  And how would the .00001% distract the hoi polloi from their bold scheme?  Maybe they buy up the media, control the narrative, and create a crisis that pits the average American against his neighbor and uses up all their energy and attention fighting each other while the robber barons help themselves to what little wealth we have left.

So... transmission investment tax credits.... yes or no?
1 Comment

The Best Laid Schemes of Mice and Men...

3/28/2021

3 Comments

 
...Go oft awry.  No matter how carefully you plan, unforeseen events can lead to failure.  And that's just the problem with the current scheme to reach "Net Zero" by 2050.  No matter which version of this scheme you may peruse, there is a common failure that will occur because the scheme is not reasonable or realistic.

I came across one such scheme the other day while researching a little known plan to create a nationwide network of CO2 pipelines and storage caverns.  Sounds kinda nutty, doesn't it?  Let's invent one more kind of linear infrastructure connected to a centralized hub.  This time they want to capture all the CO2 emitted by the necessary fossil fuel power plants and other industries of the future, and even capture escaped CO2 from the air, and pump it underground in vast storage caverns.  What could go wrong?  I'm reminded of the ending scene from Stephen King's 11/22/63, where a devastated landscape rumbles continuously from constant earthquakes.  Pumping things underground is not a sustainable future for our planet.

But there's another, more immediate, problem with this idea... centralized energy installations and linear infrastructure are two of the most hotly opposed forms of "progress."  Always have been, always will be.  While the abstract idea of "clean energy" sounds good and we have been greenwashed to love it for decades, nobody wants to have it in their own back yard.  Nobody.  In addition, the brainwashed public stops loving "clean energy" when it affects their wallet.  A "clean energy" future where we cover an area the size of Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, Oklahoma and West Virginia, combined, with new industrial wind and solar installations would be hugely expensive and simply has no relationship with reality.  This huge and forsaken land mass full of centralized energy infrastructure would require new electric transmission lines that will expand the existing system 5.3 times.

This will NEVER happen.

It is cost prohibitive.  It could increase your monthly electric bill 4 fold, to rival your monthly mortgage payment.  How many families could easily pay a second mortgage in today's economic climate?  Add to that the scheme to switch as much fossil fuel use as possible to electricity.  If you no longer used gas for your car and natural gas to heat your home, how much would your monthly electric usage increase?  As the government forces us into incrementally more electric usage, its grand scheme is to increase the cost of electricity.  This will not be sustainable over the long term.  We simply can't afford it!

Opposition to new infrastructure will be massive and intense.  If there's one thing I've learned over the past 12 years working with grassroots opposition groups, it's that nobody wants new infrastructure in their own backyard.  Politics doesn't matter when a person's home is threatened.  In fact, rich, liberal communities may fight hardest of all.  When you've lost your base, collapse is inevitable.  Grassroots opposition groups bring together everyone in a community to fight for a common goal.  Tired old tactics such as propaganda, front groups, and pitting neighbor against neighbor no longer work.  Opposition has become much too sophisticated to fall for those tricks.
The footprint of wind and solar in RE+ [scheme] are extensive and will require broad-based and sustained support from communities across much of the nation.
Not going to happen.  That's not a realistic expectation.  In addition to the growing, connected body of "woke" infrastructure opponents, every project proposal will add new mass to the group.  And what's up with that word "much?"  Much of the nation?  So, you're not saying ALL of the nation, just "much" of it?  Who is "much"?  If you look at some of these schemes you may notice a common theme... urban areas are spared the burden of new infrastructure.  Reason?  Well, they don't have enough land to spare for new energy infrastructure... but the real reason is that it would create too many "woke" infrastructure opponents.  "Much" includes wealthy urban areas that create the greatest energy sucks.  It is too much to ask the rural areas to sacrifice their own communities so that those parasites can waste tons of "clean energy" keeping their cities lit up all night.  Turn that crap off before asking anyone else to sacrifice.  Whatever happened to being responsible for your own needs?  Unless we're gifted with a alien visit bearing new ideas to generate energy without sacrifice on anyone's part, this plan is doomed to failure.  Why are we using last century's technology to solve today's problems?  Centralized generators in throw-away sacrifice zones and overhead electric transmission lines to rich cities is thoroughly outdated.  We need new ideas!  Get busy!  Maybe if the schemers spent as much time developing new energy sources as they do scheming about how to force new infrastructure on vast slices of the country, we could actually make sustainable progress.  Wind, solar and transmission are not reliable, sustainable, or smart.

Can we take a minute here to think about the transmission industry's resistance to undergrounding new transmission?  It's a common request from every community threatened with new overhead transmission that is met with lies and excuses from the transmission developer.  The developer over inflates the cost and impracticality of underground transmission.  Yes, it can be done, often at the same cost of a new overhead line, when time, equipment and land acquisition costs are figured into the equation.  Transmission developers spend buckets of money (often times YOUR money reimbursed to them via your electric bill) on antiquated structures that would be easily recognized by Thomas Edison, huge costs to acquire easements, and lavish expenditures on propaganda to ineffectively convince the affected community to accept the project.  In many instances, the project ultimately fails, or is delayed so long it's no longer cost effective.  Why not put that money into an underground project on existing rights of way?  It requires less time and equipment and little in the way of lobbying and propaganda.  But the schemers still scheme about overhead electric transmission and think they can come up with smarter ways to force it on affected communities.
Build societal commitment.

Creation of the coalitions of public support and political will needed to achieve 2020’s targets.

Major stakeholder engagement campaigns to build:
  1. Broad societal awareness of local, state and national benefits of net-zero energy pathways; and
  2. Acceptance, management, and mitigation of impacts on landscapes and communities associated with the transition.
o Major consumer awareness campaigns and incentives to drive low-carbon energy investment decisions

Oh sure, sure... create more front groups and propaganda.  That works so well... for last century's bad ideas, like tobacco.  Edward Bernays is long gone and his ideas gone stale.  Ditto Sigmund Freud.  "Woke" people are no longer buying what you're selling.  In fact, grassroots opposition groups have developed methods to expose industry propaganda and turn it into a weapon.  The people are revolting.
If the schemers think this is going to work, they've got another think coming.
3 Comments

Cockamamie Congress

3/25/2021

2 Comments

 
What do "we" need?  I mean, really.  Do we all "need" to spend trillions on a collection of new high-voltage transmission lines overlaying our existing grid?  Bill Gates thinks we do.  The media thinks we do.  But what makes them think they're experts on the subject of dictating what energy consumers "need"?

A plethora of cockamamie energy ideas has been let loose in the re-watered D.C. swamp lately, and the public is being fed a pack of propaganda about the "need" for all of them.

The Bloomberg OpEd (coincidentally in cahoots with Bill Gates and maybe other filthy rich guys) tells us what "we" need...  We need an omnipotent Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) run amok:
FERC’s powers may be limited, but it can do more. Taking a firmer line on transmission investments proposed by utilities could push more of them to put their planning in the hands of independent regional bodies. In addition, the 2005 Energy Policy Act grants the Department of Energy the power to designate priority transmission corridors; if states refuse to comply, FERC has the authority to approve projects. Court challenges stymied early efforts, yet the legislation remains on the books. The Biden administration should work to revive it.
What's "a firmer line on transmission investments?"  A firmer line?  What line?  This is nonsense language.  Perhaps they meant to say FERC should offer bigger incentive packages to transmission operators who are ordered to build new transmission by regional transmission operators (RTOs)?  If that's what you mean, why not say so?  And then you can tell everyone where the financial incentives that FERC awards come from... they come from the pockets of electric consumers.  That's right... FERC is handing out YOUR money to transmission developers, promising them a bigger pay day if they use the cover of RTOs to push through transmission projects of questionable need.

Bloomberg also failed to elaborate on the DOE and FERC "power" to approve new transmission projects "on the books."  What's currently "on the books", as interpreted by a federal court, allows states to deny applications for new transmission and end the issue.  FERC currently has no authority to approve projects that are rightfully denied by a state utility commission.  However, if transparently presented, perhaps they meant to say that new legislation is needed to usurp state authority to site and permit electric transmission, because that's what's included in proposed legislation.  HR 1512 changes "what's on the books" to allow FERC to issue a permit for new transmission in the event a state denies one.  So imagine a new transmission project threatens your community, and you marshal your resources to oppose it at your state utility commission.  If you are successful and the state denies the permit, you still can't win because FERC will step in and issue a permit for the project against the better judgment of your state utility commission.

And in the realm of cockamamie... Congress recently heard testimony about creating new CO2 pipelines.  What is that?
CCUS at gigaton scale from power plants and industrial facilities will require a major CO2 pipeline infrastructure and significant hubs for geological CO2 storage. In addition, reaching net zero emissions – and eventually net negative emissions – throughout the economy will require carbon dioxide removal (CDR) from the atmosphere and upper ocean layers.
We're going to remove CO2 from the atmosphere and pump it underground?  Wanna bet the underground storage cavern to contain that isn't under Beethoven's house?***

Now here's a really awful idea...
I recommend that Congress create and fund a Federal Electric Transmission Authority with the capabilities and funds to manage and coordinate national-scale transmission planning, design, and construction. This Authority should work closely with FERC, the states, DOE, and existing industry and reliability authorities to expand, build and adapt a robust transmission network that meets our nation’s needs over the long term. This will require decades of effort. Therefore the Transmission Authority must be created by statute to maintain mission, expertise and funding continuity (much like the Federal Highway Administration) and protect it from changing administration policy preferences.
Oh, just what "we" need... a new bloated government bureaucracy to run over all the entities that now plan, permit and cost allocate transmission.  If this is going to be anything like the current state "Transmission Authorities" operating in western states, it's not going to end well.  In New Mexico, the "Transmission Authority" is unfunded by the state.  Instead, it is funded by the transmission operators who want to build new transmission in New Mexico.  What could go wrong with a government "authority" fully funded by private interests?

You'll find a mine field of dumb ideas of what "we" need if you peruse the testimony currently being given before the House Energy and Commerce Committee.  Went looking for something particular the other day and felt quite like Alice after tumbling down the rabbit hole.  It's not about "we", it's about what the elite want to impose on us to check a few items off their personal political wish list.

What a mess!  A costly conglomeration of cockamamie Congressional conceptions.

***It has been confirmed.  The CO2 storage caverns will be nowhere near Beethoven's house.  How close will they be to yours?
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2 Comments

Invenergy Calls Landowner Eminent Domain Concerns "Fake"

3/2/2021

1 Comment

 
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No, really!  Yes, my jaw dropped, too.  How DARE they?

Here's the entire quote in a new article from a publication named The Center Square.
Invenergy spokeswoman Beth Conley said the bill was expected and is no different than previous efforts to use property right concerns as a fake reason to derail the delivery of “clean energy” overwhelmingly supported in Missouri and across the country.
So Beth thinks opposition to GBE is just an effort to derail delivery of clean electricity?  Any landowner concern about eminent domain is merely "fake" window dressing?

She's really, really, really gone and done it now.
And she should know better.
She was bought up from Clean Line along with the GBE project.  She's been working on this project as long as you have.  Beth thinks landowner concern about property rights has been nothing but an act for 10 years?

You know, 10 years is a long, long time for busy farmers to carry on a "fake" grassroots movement to prevent "clean energy."  Like farmers have nothing better to do than spend a decade of their lives, and a big chunk of their savings, just to make sure "clean energy" isn't delivered to Missouri and other states.

Landowners across Missouri have shown up in Jefferson City to support property rights legislation again and again.  I've honestly lost track of how many years legislation has been proposed.  Does Beth think it's easy for these folks to take a day out of their work schedule to travel to the capitol?  Unlike Beth, these people never take a day off.  Animals still must be fed and cared for.  Crops still need attention.  There are a million different things farmers need to accomplish every day, and there is no time clock to punch out for a day to visit Jefferson City just to fight against "clean energy."

What is wrong with you for suggesting such a thing, Beth?

Missouri landowners are about the most genuine people I know.  They don't have time or money to play fake political games.  They are fighting to protect their property rights because they are deeply concerned.  They are concerned that their generational farms are being slowly gobbled up by development for benefit of others far, far away.  They are concerned that construction of a new transmission line across their farm is going to hinder their productivity and lower their yield.  They recognize that GBE isn't a necessary power line needed to provide electric service to their neighbors who don't have it.  Instead, it's a private, for-profit roadway through their farms that's going to make Invenergy a bundle of money.  GBE won't benefit these landowners in the least, and for their trouble Invenergy wants to pay them a "market value" pittance.  Worse yet, if the landowner resists Invenergy's offer, Invenergy wants to use the solemn power of the government to condemn and take the land of uncooperative landowners.  Nothing at all "fake" about being concerned about that.

Maybe Beth should take a look in the mirror?  After all, isn't there an active complaint at the Missouri PSC regarding Invenergy's fake claims about what project it's trying to build?  Beth herself claimed in a podcast that Invenergy was building transmission for gen tie and started that ball rolling.  Invenergy has been all over the media (and at the Kansas Governor's place) touting its changed plans.  But yet, Invenergy has been telling the MO PSC that its project hasn't changed a bit and that it's still entitled to use the threat of eminent domain to coerce landowners to sign agreements.

Seems to me that Invenergy is the fake one.  Pretending to build one thing while planning another.  Pretending it's about to condemn property in order to get landowners to sign early and cheaply.  Pretending that it's bringing "benefit" to Missouri.

Pretending that GBE could prevent a Texas-style power outage in Missouri.  Now that's really FAKE!  The project Invenergy says its building in Missouri will sell 100% of its capacity through negotiated contracts with load serving entities in other states (less a tiny fraction for Missouri municipalities looking for a free lunch at the expense of landowners miles away).  Another option for Invenergy is to sign with a generator who wants to deliver to customers at the other end of the line.  The point is that ALL GBE's transmission capacity will be owned by other entities.  These entities control what flows over GBE and where it goes.  Beth and Invenergy cannot commandeer GBE back from the customers who own its capacity in order to ship energy to other customers elsewhere.  So, let's say another big freeze happens across the Midwest and Missouri's generators freeze up and go offline (this would never happen because Missouri generators are protected from winter weather).  If that happens, Missouri would need a big shot of power to keep the lights on.  Except Missouri's neighbors are probably also having issues and have no power to spare.  Even if they did, unless they owned some of GBE's capacity to use for this purpose (or could purchase or rent it through someone who did), GBE is about as useless as a bucket underneath a bull.  GBE is not a public access transmission project that anyone can use.  It's a private transmission project for the exclusive use of private customers who pay the most to use it. 

Grain Belt Express should not have the power of eminent domain. 

Beth needs to get herself back to the land of the fake in Chicago and quit insulting rural Missourians.  Does she really think that's going to help the situation?  Make sure your legislator knows exactly what Invenergy thinks of Missourians.

The race is on... who is going to stop Invenergy's fake condemnation of private property in Missouri first?  The legislature, or the PSC?
1 Comment

Not Just No, But HELL NO!

1/30/2021

0 Comments

 
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Oh, the arrogance of the elite.  It's all about making money, it's not about "climate change" or saving the planet.  Packaging their greed as altruism and cashing in on all the green washing of the past 20 years is simply a way to pull the wool over the eyes of the people who are going to pay for it all. 

It's time for energy consumers to get a little "woke" themselves.

Transmission-loving front group Americans for a Clean Energy Grid (ACEG) has been pouring out the propaganda and plans for a weak and clueless federal government to adopt in order to ensure their payday.  As mentioned before, ACEG is composed not of "Americans" as we understand the term to incorporate everyone, but an elite group of utility interests that see big money to be had by building new transmission infrastructure on a grand scale.  They would be more aptly named Transmission Profiteers for Building New Transmission (TPBNT).

Released this week, TPBNT's newest report was feted by a gaggle of former FERC commissioners who no longer have influence over regulatory policy but are still eager to cash in on their former positions.  The report is full of the same old stuff... making up new "benefits" for transmission, changing the transmission planning process to make Big Transmission the solution to every problem, and allocating costs so widely that consumers may not notice the increase in their bill caused by all this new infrastructure they're paying for.

One of the former FERCers at the fete exclaimed:
“Not only yes, but hell yes,” James Hoecker, FERC chairman from 1997 to 2001, said of the need for major new transmission investment in a Wednesday webinar introducing the report. Beyond the need to absorb the country's growing share of wind and solar power, the grid will likely “need to double in size to support the electrification of transportation, heat and other industrial processes,” all of which are needed to decarbonize the U.S. economy. 
Another picked up on the cute enthusiasm for forcing consumers to pay for infrastructure they may not need:
“I say ‘hell yes’ as well; we need to do more interregional transmission,” Wellinghoff, former FERC chairman from 2009 to 2013 and current CEO of GridPolicy, said at Wednesday’s event. 
“Order 1000 has fallen short on its vision, certainly short on my vision of it." 
Guess what?

No.  HELL NO!

We don't need to double or triple the amount of long-distance transmission and ignore distributed generation of local renewables, which can effect your infinitesimal world-wide carbon lowering goals much better, much cheaper, and much faster.  These chuckleheads begin and end their policy permutations with a complete fallacy.
By all accounts, wind and solar resources will become a much larger portion of the resource mix in the future, and electrification of transportation and buildings will substantially increase demand. These trends magnify the benefits of building large regional and inter-regional transmission infrastructure to connect resource rich areas with load centers.
Who says that all renewable resources are located so far from urban load pockets that we "need" new, large regional and inter-regional transmission projects?  What about offshore wind and local/regional solar?  Seems to me that those things are being built and will NOT benefit from new long-distance transmission.  In fact, they would benefit from smaller, targeted upgrades to existing transmission.   If we put all our eggs into the remote renewables plus new long-distance transmission basket, we are effectively playing kingmaker over generation supply and creating a future stranded asset that consumers will be paying for decades into the future.

Another gem:
“Nobody likes transmission. We will always be litigating it,” Nora Mead Brownell, co-founder of energy consultancy Espy Energy Solutions and FERC commissioner from 2001 to 2007, said during Wednesday’s event. “But I think if we had a more fact-based basis for it and...more coordination between regions,” a broader planning regime could “build people’s confidence that they’re getting a fair shake.” 
Not a chance.  There is no world in which pumping more complicated "facts" onto landowners affected by new overhead transmission is going to make them think they should willingly sacrifice their home, business, and well-being for new transmission.  New overhead transmission is a non-starter.  Period.

Underground that stuff on existing public rights-of-way.  That's the only chance to avoid landowner and community opposition, by removing them from the equation entirely.

I do see that TPBNT has another sneaky plan to remove landowners from the equation by giving states a role in regional transmission planning in order to get their buy-in before affected landowners and communities find out about it and have a chance to influence the state regulators.
given the challenge of siting new projects that may be particularly acute in some regions, limiting competition may be a catalyst for new development because it limits the number of developers that may stir up “not in my backyard” or “NIMBY” opposition via project development activities.
Don't you think that transmission developers have tried that many times over already?  The scheme to approach local governments and elected officials to seek their buy-in before transmission plans are publicly announced has happened over and over again.  However, it never works.  Once those officials, who thought the transmission project was a good idea when it was presented in a one-sided vacuum, are approached by their constituents they always flip and join the opposition when other facts creep into the sanitized plan they were fed.  And there's that voting thing... local electeds are big fans of self-preservation and they know who votes in local elections.  It's not transmission developers.

As ominous and terrible as all this sounds, remember how long it takes to melt or redirect the iceberg of public policy, regulations, and judicial review.  They'd be lucky to get even close in four years, never mind the two they actually have before Congress makes another seismic shift.

Why not get onboard with energy plans that consumers and landowners can support instead of continuing to beat your heads against a brick wall with all the confidence of elite arrogance?  We see you for who you really are.
0 Comments

Here We Go Again...

11/27/2020

1 Comment

 
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It's going to be a long four years.  Already the ghosts of clean energy past are creeping from the closet and resurrecting whatever it was they were doing in the fall of 2016.  It's like the last 4 years never even happened.  It remains to be seen how successful these cleaniacs might be trying to carry out 4-year old energy plans.  One thing's for sure... the shysters and scammers are back... and they want YOUR farm.

Anyone remember the Schulte Ass. sideshow barkers from earlier this year?  Well, they're back, barking harder than ever and trying to assume a posture of relevance through a lovely expose in fake news media.  The Energy News Network, as they're now calling themselves, is nothing more than "clean energy" propaganda masquerading as a legitimate news site.  It's a project of "Fresh Energy" that is in turn funded by all sorts of shady "foundations" and renewable energy companies who stand to profit from the propaganda this publication produces.

Anyhow... Rob and Fred are back to "promoting" other people's transmission projects as their own.  Their grand idea involves "stitching together" a series of transmission projects being developed and built by others.  They are trying to drum up funding for a "feasibility study" that would sell themselves as "consultants" on using the ideas of others.  P.T. Barnum would be so proud!

Not only are they "promoting" transmission projects owned by others, they're also trying to hijack the hard work of others.  Our "consultants" say they will "connect" with the SOO Green Renewable Rail merchant transmission project to create the easternmost "leg" of their transmission stitchery project.  I think our heroes are showing their ignorance again... this merchant project will most likely be built and spoken for by voluntary customers paying negotiated rates.  It's not something these "consultants" can just "connect" to on a whim.  And why would Rob and Fred want to pretend they are "connecting" to SOO Green?
In contrast to the Midwestern Clean Line projects, the 2,100-megawatt SOO Green appears to be encountering little if any resistance.
Right.  Because SOO Green is buried on existing rights of way.  Rob and Fred's idea?  Most likely, no.  Rob and Fred most likely plan to rip through private property to create new rights of way for an aerial transmission line on gigantic poles.  Of course, who knows what they "plan," since their idea really has no definition.

Do Rob and Fred really think they can capitalize on SOO Green's hard work with landowners and communities in order to create goodwill for their own project?  That will never happen.  They're more likely to create bad will for SOO Green, however I don't think that SOO Green has anything to do with these two yahoos and their "idea."

Step right up... the bad ideas for cross-country transmission "for renewables" are going to be plentiful.  This only builds upon the entrenched and steadfast transmission opposition groups already at work.  

Next... cue the front groups!  Because all the old astroturfers that began their careers hustling for big tobacco are back and they're hungrier than ever!  They're pretending to be "grassroots" groups in New Mexico, however, as usual, no actual landowners or affected communities are involved.  Fake grassroots always depends on quid pro quo relationships with unaffected or greedy groups or quasi-governmental organizations who are eager to toss their community under the bus for personal profit.

Ben Kelahan?  Hmm... that name sounds really familiar...  wasn't he the one who created that bogus "survey" that determined that landowners are unlikely to oppose a transmission line on their property that is "for renewables."  Turns out that survey was about as useful as a screen door on a submarine... but only after Michael Skelly wasted $200M of investors' money chasing that stupid hypothesis.  Turns out landowners absolutely don't care what kind of electricity the transmission line carries (and the idea of a transmission line carrying only special "clean" electrons is ridiculous for any thinking person).  Landowners only care about the transmission line... and they will NOT willingly host it.  

To your battle stations, friends, it's going to be a long four years...
1 Comment

It Snowed in Kansas Yesterday!

10/1/2020

8 Comments

 
What?  Snow in September?  Climate change does the strangest things lately.  Maybe no Kansans noticed any accumulation of the white stuff at their homes yesterday, but there was a blizzard going on on Zoom... a virtual snow job!

Invenergy has a big problem in Kansas.  Its existing permit for Grain Belt Express issued by the Kansas Corporation Commission is going to need some extensive updates to remove original conditions.  One condition was that the company must have the project permitted in all 4 states before beginning construction in Kansas.  Another was that no Kansans would pay for the transmission line project.  But Invenergy has a new plan so unlike the original project the KCC vetted and permitted that it needs to remove those conditions.  And what better way to get the captured KCC to look the other way and eliminate the conditions designed to protect Kansans than to get the Governor onboard?

Yesterday, Kansas Governor Laura Kelly announced that Kansas has "partnered with Invergy to bring the transmission line, which is 800-miles long, to the state."  800-miles you say?  Is it going to go round and round inside Kansas in a big circle?  According to GBE's website, the project will be "380+ miles" in Kansas.  It is proposed as 800-miles from Kansas to Indiana.  Except Invenergy still hasn't applied for a permit to cross 200-miles through Illinois.  Therefore, it's only 580-miles across Kansas and Missouri.  In fact, that's the only thing Invenergy has committed to so far, and it wants to begin construction before even applying to cross Illinois.  Therefore, its project is not 800-miles long, it's only 580-miles, less the distance between the Missouri converter station and the eastern border of the state.

This is only the beginning of the inaccurate dreck spewed at yesterday's virtual press conference.  It gets even crazier.

A new transmission line connected to the Grain Belt Express will bring thousands of jobs and $8 billion in investment to the state of Kansas, Gov. Laura Kelly announced Wednesday.
Oh, it's a new project?  Not the same old Grain Belt Express that's been languishing in the land of failed ideas since 2012?  It's going to be connected to the Grain Belt Express?  Say what?  It looks like the press conference failed so completely at delivering facts that at least one media outlet thinks its some separate new project (with the same name?).  The media didn't do its job yesterday by fact checking any of this.  Whether that's through sheer ignorance and laziness, or through lack of opportunity to ask questions, the readers may never know.  If you watch the Zoom meeting, they open it up to questions from the media at the end.  Only one reporter got to ask questions before they were "out of time" (or simply out of questions).  The reporter asked what kind of qualifications or skills Kansans would need to get a job on the project.  Kris Zadlo from Invenergy non-answered that by claiming Invenergy would prefer to hire locally as much as possible.  That's not an answer to that question!  The other question was about how the promised $50/year savings per electric customer would flow through on the bills for Evergy customers.  Zadlo said something about Evergy first having to purchase the renewable energy before flowing the savings through to customers.  That's also not an answer.

Let's tackle the second question first...  GBE is a transmission line.  It's not a generator of renewable energy.  Evergy would have to purchase capacity on GBE's transmission line, and then separately purchase renewable energy to transmit on GBE from a separate renewable energy generator.  In fact, I haven't seen any indication that this has happened.  Purchasing transmission capacity on GBE and renewable energy from a generator is completely voluntary.  Evergy may or may not do it.  If Evergy doesn't do it, there is no savings.  And even if Evergy does, there is no guarantee of whether, or how much, "savings" Evergy would pass along to its end-use customers.  Poof!  There goes that $50 savings.  It's hypothetical upon hypothetical upon voluntarily hypothetical.  Reality check!  Investor-owned utilities like Evergy don't make their money buying product from Chicago-based companies and passing the expense onto Kansans... they make their money by OWNING the infrastructure that generates and transmits energy supplied to their customers.  Kansas energy transmitted to customers over Kansas transmission lines owned by a Kansas company keeps Kansans energy dollars in Kansas.  It doesn't export Kansas energy profits to Chicago.

The second question was premised on the Governor's claim (which supposedly came from an Invenergy study) that Grain Belt Express would create over 22,000 jobs in Kansas during the construction period, and nearly 1,000 permanent, full-time operations jobs in Kansas after construction.  Let's get to the short answer here first... new construction jobs for Kansans.  Building high voltage transmission is a highly specialized job skill.  Workers with this skill are employed by a handful of companies across the country.  The transmission company hires one of these specialized construction companies to build a line, and the workers are shipped in only for the duration of construction.  So, what Zadlo was saying is... if their selected contractor from another state has Kansans on the payroll, then a Kansan would have a job constructing the project.  In fact, Zadlo would "prefer" that.  What won't happen is mass hiring of Kansans with limited or no skills to construct GBE.  Jobs for Kansans?  Hardly.

But let's look at the job claims, which come completely out of left field and thoroughly out of line with previous job claims.  22,000.  Twenty two thousand?  Previous construction job claims for GBE totaled only 1,500 in the state of Missouri.  One thousand five hundred.  Granted Kansas has nearly double the line miles proposed for Missouri, but the Kansas claim is more than 14 times the jobs claimed for Missouri!  For every job created in Missouri, there will be more than 14 created in Kansas to construct the same project over similar terrain.  Something doesn't smell right here....  And then let's move on to post-construction operations jobs.  The same Missouri report found only 91 operations jobs.  However, the Kansas claims from yesterday are 10 times that at 968!  For every Missouri job operating and maintaining GBE, Kansas will need 10 people to do that same job.  A reasonable person might question these numbers.  An even more reasonable person would know that these numbers aren't real jobs.  They're nothing but numbers spit out of a computer program based on economic data fed into an equation that's not revealed.  Simply adjust the numbers, and the result changes.  Garbage in, garbage out!  So, what is going to happen afterwards when these jobs don't materialize?  Nothing.  The damage will have been done and the rewards will have failed to materialize.  So sorry, suckers!
Picture
And can we talk about what GBE actually IS for a hot minute?  Zadlo claimed:
“Economic recovery and long-term economic competitiveness in Kansas and Missouri depend on new investment, more jobs, and tapping into low-cost, homegrown clean energy, which Grain Belt is moving full speed ahead to deliver,” Zadlo said. “Grain Belt is proud to increase our investment in Kansas and Missouri to rebuild the economy, deliver billions of dollars in energy cost savings, and meet growing renewable energy demand.”
Although he did mention that GBE is a direct current (DC) transmission line, nobody else in Zoom-land seemed to know what that meant, therefore nobody questioned the faulty narrative.

A DC transmission line is a closed highway between converter stations with no entrance or exit ramps along the way.  Electricity is produced as alternating current (AC).  It must be converted to DC at a hugely-expensive converter station (say $100M) before it can be transmitted on the line.  It cannot be connected to our existing AC transmission system or used until is is converted back to AC at another equally expensive converter station at the delivery end.  GBE's plan calls for building a converter station at the Spearville end of the route to convert AC to DC and send it on its way east.  GBE's plan calls for ONE converter station at the delivery end to convert it back to AC.  That converter station is proposed for somewhere in eastern Missouri.  If the project is eventually extended to Indiana, there will be a third converter constructed at the IL/IN border.  Electricity transmitted over the line can ONLY be used after it has reached a converter station and been converted back to AC.  So, when the Governor says that the electricity on GBE will create a savings for and be used by Kansas electric consumers, she's saying that electricity produced at Spearville will be sent to eastern Missouri over GBE, where it will be converted back to AC and then shipped back to Kansas on the existing transmission system?  Let's see if we can follow the path of all that "home-grown" energy from Spearville to... say... Wichita.  Spearville to Randolph Co. Missouri to Wichita?  It can't go directly from Spearville to Wichita unless GBE builds a converter station in Wichita.  If the electricity is sent directly to Wichita, it would travel only on our existing AC transmission system, and we wouldn't need GBE at all.

Basic physics sailed clear over the heads of the Kansas officials and reporters.  Only Kris Zadlo knew the truth, and he wasn't sharing.  What a great guy!

Perhaps this is the greatest quote of the whole debacle:
The governor said the state has a lot of unused wind energy and this will be a good way to make sure it isn’t wasted.
There sure is a lot of wind in Kansas.  Whistling around on Zoom and between the ears of some folks too stupid to know they're being had.  What a waste of time!
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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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